Women's Euro 2025 score predictions: Rachel Brown-Finnis forecasts semi-final scores

8 months ago 81

Rachel Brown-Finnis Euro 2025 predictions graphic

Four teams are wrong touching region of winning Euro 2025, including holders England, but who volition marque it to the last astatine St Jakob-Park successful Basel connected 27 July?

The Lionesses instrumentality connected Italy connected Tuesday, portion the different semi-final sees satellite champions Spain look Germany connected Wednesday.

BBC Sport shot adept Rachel Brown-Finnis is predicting the result of each 31 games successful Switzerland.

She picked each 4 winners of the quarter-finals, meaning she has been close astir 20 of the 28 (71%) matches truthful far.

You were incorrect astir 2 of the last-eight ties, Italy's triumph implicit Norway and Germany getting the amended of France. Only 26% of you saw that past 1 coming, meaning your wide full is 18/28 (64%).

There are lone 3 games to go, truthful tin you drawback Rachel successful the semi-finals? You tin marque your ain predictions below.

Before the tournament, Brown-Finnis chose 7 of the 8 teams that made it done to the knockout stage, including England, who she believes volition triumph the tournament.

Semi-final ties

  • 22 July, 20:00 BST

  • Stade de Geneve, Geneva

  • World ranking: 5th v 13th

  • Best erstwhile Euros finish: England - winners 2022; Italy - runner-up 1993 & 1997

Live commentary connected Radio 5 Live and BBC Sounds

The quarter-finals served up an implicit whirlwind of play and I americium expecting some semi-finals to beryllium conscionable arsenic exciting.

Whoever gets done each tie, it volition not conscionable travel down to who is the champion squad - truthful galore different factors volition assistance determine the victor and each 4 of the remaining sides person already shown their antithetic qualities and characteristics.

One of England's is resilience and different is courage. I said during my commentary that erstwhile Lucy Bronze stuck distant the winning punishment against Sweden, it was similar Stuart Pearce's spot-kick successful the shoot-out against Spain astatine Euro 96.

All of Lucy's emotions and her pridefulness to bash that for her state came out. It's what tourney shot is each astir and it is simply a infinitesimal that volition instrumentality with everyone who watched it, myself included.

Media caption,

England triumph connected penalties aft fightback against Sweden to beforehand to Euro semis

I'd emotion to accidental this crippled volition beryllium overmuch much straightforward for England and that they volition sail done but I deliberation we've already learned that it won't beryllium that easy.

If you had offered England a semi-final against Italy earlier these Euros started, they would person taken it. Also, if I was predicting a crippled betwixt the 2 teams backmost then, I would person been precise assured and said I could lone spot a Lionesses win.

Now, however, it is simply a precise antithetic scenario. We person seen Italy turn arsenic this tourney has gone on, including their self-belief. They volition deliberation they tin bushed England and they are going to beryllium precise unsafe opponents.

Fatigue could beryllium 1 origin - the Azzure person had 1 day's much remainder than England, who besides had to get done extra-time and penalties - but the mode Italy play is going to origin England problems too.

Media caption,

Italy done to semi-finals with precocious winner

They deserved to beat Norway successful the quarter-finals and their 1 decision truthful acold came against Spain successful their last radical game, aft they went toed to toed with them astatine first.

They took their ft disconnected the state against the satellite champions successful the 2nd fractional but I deliberation that was lone due to the fact that of the circumstances successful the Portugal-Belgium crippled and Italy knowing they were inactive going done arsenic agelong arsenic they did not suffer excessively heavily.

I don't expect them to clasp backmost astatine each here. They volition astir apt travel perfectly flying retired of the blocks aft seeing however Sweden's accelerated commencement opened up Sarina Wiegman's side. I bash deliberation England volition beryllium amended defensively than they were against Sweden, but they volition person to be.

Wiegman volition person a antithetic gameplan for this necktie anyhow, successful presumption of however she sets her broadside up, but what she truly needs is simply a show for 90 minutes astatine the level we cognize England tin nutrient alternatively than them conscionable getting going successful the 2nd half, the mode they did against Sweden.

So, however they commencement this crippled is hugely important. England person to play no-risk shot successful the opening fewer minutes truthful they tin consciousness their mode into the crippled and get done the archetypal 10 oregon 15 minutes unscathed.

They can't permission the doorway unfastened the mode they did aboriginal connected against Sweden oregon springiness Italy's onslaught immoderate encouragement whatsoever. By that, I mean they indispensable debar playing themselves into occupation if they are nether unit erstwhile they play retired from the back.

This is Italy's archetypal semi-final astatine a large finals since 1997 but they volition consciousness they beryllium connected this signifier arsenic overmuch arsenic England bash and they surely won't attraction that they are facing the holders. Going up would lone boost their assurance further and I privation to spot England commencement connected the beforehand ft this time.

Ultimately, Italy would astir apt beryllium blessed if this goes into extra-time, knowing England person much minutes successful their legs, but I don't deliberation this necktie volition get that far.

It is going to beryllium a precise pugnacious 90 minutes for each Lionesses fans arsenic good arsenic the players connected the transportation but I americium backing England to get the occupation done successful mean time.

Brown-Finnis' prediction: 2-1

  • 23 July, 20:00 BST

  • Stadion Letzigrund, Zurich

  • World ranking: 3rd v 2nd

  • Best erstwhile Euros finish: Germany - Eight-time winners betwixt 1989 & 2013; Spain - semi-finals 1997

Watch unrecorded connected BBC One, iPlayer and the BBC Sport website; unrecorded commentary connected Radio 5 Live and BBC Sounds

I had a feeling Germany would get the amended of France somehow, and I was right, but what an astonishing conflict that quarter-final was.

As a goalkeeper, I peculiarly enjoyed Ann-Katrin Berger's show to assistance Germany get through. Her prevention to support retired team-mate Janina Minge's backward header was perfectly outstanding.

All the aspects of it are truthful hard to execute - Berger was astatine afloat stretch, moving backwards and trying to propulsion off. She was capable to usage her athleticism and agelong framework but besides drew connected her determination to conscionable astir support the shot retired of the net.

It added to what had already been an breathtaking game, with Germany down to 10 players for truthful agelong earlier yet getting done connected penalties, with Berger again the hero.

Media caption,

Germany's Berger with 'the prevention of the tournament'

Overall, it was the benignant of squad show that epitomised Germany's advancement successful Switzerland, wherever they person packed a batch into their 4 games truthful acold - bully and bad. Very small has gone precisely to program but against France they inactive recovered a mode of winning.

The mode they responded aft Kathrin Hendrich was sent off, you would not person known France had an other player. That's recognition to their manager Christian Wuck for instantly reorganising his squad and besides the resoluteness of their players.

Just similar England, Germany person shown they cognize however to get done games and they decidedly cognize it is not ever astir winning pretty.

All of this is wherefore they are a squad to beryllium reckoned with and wherefore they volition beryllium specified pugnacious opponents for Spain.

Media caption,

How 2 moments of brilliance helped Spain bushed Switzerland

Spain are the satellite champions and the lone squad to person won each their games to get this far. They person besides scored 16 goals successful 4 matches and dominated possession each clip but I inactive deliberation they look susceptible connected the transition.

Switzerland utilized their gait to get down Spain's precocious enactment aboriginal successful their quarter-final and Germany volition consciousness they tin get astatine them too.

It volition beryllium absorbing to spot who starts up apical for Germany and whether it is Giovanna Hoffman who leads their enactment again oregon if they travel up with a antithetic plan. They decidedly won't person much of the shot than Spain but they are beauteous objective erstwhile they bash get a show of extremity truthful they cognize they tin inactive wounded them.

Germany's strength and resoluteness volition assistance them present excessively and I would not beryllium amazed if Berger produces different akin show to support them successful this crippled - 1 mode oregon different they are going to propulsion Spain each the way.

I americium co-commentating connected this crippled and I americium already reasoning it could spell to penalties but erstwhile it comes to making a prediction, past I person to backmost Spain to bash thing peculiar again to triumph the crippled beforehand. We cognize they are susceptible of it.

Brown-Finnis' prediction: 2-3 aft other time

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